NOSB 2010 Research Project
Problems facing Alaska coastal communities as a direct result of a retreating and thinning Arctic ice cap.2010 student research papers
The Research Project
This project will count as 50 percent of the 2010 Alaska Region NOSB competition. The document will be worth 25 percent and the oral presentation of the project will count as 25 percent toward the 50-percent total.
Final papers are due 1 December 2009.
The research project is optional. Teams can compete in the quiz bowl portion of the Tsunami Bowl without doing a project, but since the project is responsible for half of a team's total score, a team not doing the project has no chance of being the overall winner and progressing to the national competition in April 2010.
See the document preparation guidelines for deadlines and instructions on how to prepare the research paper.
The Topic
The research project for the 2010 Tsunami Bowl will be to
Determine the most important aspect facing your coastal community (or any defined Alaska coastal community that your team chooses) as a direct result of a retreating and thinning Arctic ice cap, and propose policy changes or actions that can be taken to deal with that specific problem.
Teams must define a marine-related problem that is directly related to the shrinking of the Arctic ice cap. They must consider the interactions among the atmosphere, ice, ocean, and land, and suggest what feedback loops may be responsible for the observed changes in their marine ecosystem. They must focus upon impacts to their community.
Teams should propose policy changes or actions that can be taken now (both locally and internationally) to deal with the specific problem that the team has identified as most critical. Perhaps an engineering project may be developed to offset potential impacts. As part of their discussion, teams should consider how and why this problem is significant to their community as well as the rest of the world (community outreach is important).
Background
Researchers have known for years that the ice covering the Arctic Sea has been shrinking in areal coverage. Recently, evidence of the decade-long trend of shrinking sea ice extent in the Arctic has been compounded with new evidence for thinning ice as well. These findings are important because thicker ice is more resilient and can last from summer to summer. Without ice cover and with loss of multiyear ice, the Arctic Sea's ability to absorb the sun's heat more readily—instead of reflecting it as the light-colored ice does—will exacerbate the heating effect. Arctic ice is a major factor in both global climate and weather patterns. The difference between the cool air at the poles and the warm air around the equator drives both atmospheric and oceanic currents, which includes the jet stream.
The relevance of such a research topic and potential avenues of investigation have been nicely outlined by Ben Carney (Juneau-Douglas High School) as follows:
Biological/Ecosystem Changes
- Salmon runs and colonization
- Ringed seals, polar bears, walrus, arctic cod, and other marine mammals associated with ice pack
- Bird migration/timing
- Changes in food web base or otherwise associated with less algae on ice and changes in open water assemblages
- Vegetation (on shore)
- Range extensions and invasive species
Social Aspects
- Economy: cruise ships, tourism, impact of access by ships, pollution, lack of access by frozen land or ice, accessibility to natural resources
- Military: boundary claims, defense, competition for resources
- Navigation and access: Northwest Passage, Canada relations, aviation changes due to weather
- Cultural change: village erosion movement, population growth due to access, social mixing due to access, subsistence
- Emergency services: village erosion, search and rescue, HAZMAT and oil spills, law enforcement, access
Geological
- Natural resources: oil, natural gas, minerals access by ships
- Coastline alterations: erosion, construction
- Sedimentation: sediment load changes and/or distributed patterns
- Engineering: permafrost loss
Physical
- Currents: possible current alterations (thermohaline circulation slowdown, surface current alterations, upwelling)
- Meteorological: wind regime changes with implications for circulation; arguments are made that weather systems behave differently over open ocean rather than ice feedback
- Other physical ocean: chemistry, methane release, changes associated with sedimentation
Chemistry
- Changes in water chemistry due to altered mixing, sedimentation
- Changes in water chemistry due to altered biological systems, gas exchange
Technology
- Associated with models of climate change, etc.
- Satellites and other technologies used to measure changes, including those that measure sea level, productivity, etc.
- Technologies associated with addressing changes, including erosion, marine navigation, etc.
Resources
General writing, research, and presentation resources
- Basic steps in the research process
- General writing concerns (planning/writing/revising)
- Hints for giving oral presentations using PowerPoint [PDF; 2.7 MB]
- Finding information on the Internet (Univ. of California Berkeley)
- Search the Internet and find Websites (UC Berkeley)
Mailing and physical addresses for submitting
Mailing address
Dean Stockwell
Institute of Marine Science, School of Fisheries and Ocean Sciences
University of Alaska Fairbanks
PO Box 757220
Fairbanks, AK 99775-7220
Email: dean@ims.uaf.edu
Physical address
Dean Stockwell
234 Irving II Building
University of Alaska Fairbanks
Fairbanks, AK 99775-7220.

